Asset #Trading and Valuation with Uncertain Exposure

This paper considers an asset market where investors have private information not only about asset payoffs, but also about their own exposure to an aggregate risk factor. In equilibrium, rational investors disagree about asset payoffs: Those with higher exposure to the risk factor are (endogenously) more optimistic about claims on the risk factor. Thus, information asymmetry limits risk sharing and trading volumes. Moreover, uncertainty about exposure amplifies the effect of aggregate exposure on asset prices, and can thereby help explain the excess volatility of prices and the predictability of excess returns.

https://www.richmondfed.org/publications/research/working_papers/2014/pdf/wp14-05.pdf

Related Posts

  • 83
    Embarking on a trading adventure involves developing a systematic strategy, understanding trend following, and mastering risk management. Drawing on resources like Covel's "Trend Following" and Schwager's "Market Wizards," traders must cultivate patience and discipline. Continual learning and adaptation are crucial to navigating the ever-changing markets and achieving long-term success.
    Tags: trading, market, risk
  • 80
    The optimal portfolio of risky assets is exactly the same for everyone : 1. Investors should control the risk of their portfolio not by reallocating among risky assets, but through the split between risky and risk-free assets. 2. The portfolio of risky assets should contain a large number of assets…
    Tags: risk, investors, trading
  • 70
    Enhancing your trading approach requires strategic discipline and a commitment to certain principles that guard against common pitfalls. Here are six ways to level up your trading, ensuring that you maximize gains while minimizing losses: 1. No Big Losses (Cut Losses Quickly) Implement a strict stop-loss policy to protect your…
    Tags: trading, risk, returns, market
  • 68
    The market does not run on chance or luck. Like the battlefield, it runs on probabilities and odds. David Dreman (1936-) In the realm of investing, the notion that success stems from luck or random chance is a myth that has been debunked by many of the world's most successful investors.…
    Tags: market, investors, risk, trading
  • 65
    Russia invades Ukraine: beware of a risk off weekly opening
    Tags: risk, trading