Be like Dalio. Own your mistakes, fix them and learn from them.

In yesterday’s column, I wrote:

If you have an issue with Social Security, then fix it. The regressive taxes to fund retirement benefits top out at about $117,000 in 2014. Why not simply raise that to $250,000 next year and $500,000 during the next 20 years. Congratulations, you just made Social Security solvent for the next century.

I was incorrect. Several sharp-eyed readers pointed out those numbers didn’t add up. That sent me back to a research report I was basing this on, and as it was, I had incorrectly read the data, conflating raising the cap with removing it entirely. As the Congressional Budget Office numbers show, making incomes up to $500,000 subject to the payroll-tax wouldn’t get the job done. Indeed, removing the cap would only cover about nine-tenths of the projected Social Security shortfall in the coming decades.

http://www.bloombergview.com

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The top 10 lessons I learned from A Year of Productivity

When I graduated University with a business degree last May, I received two incredible full-time job offers, both of which I declined because I had a plan.

For exactly one year, from May 1, 2013, through May 1, 2014, I would devour everything I could get my hands on about productivity, and write every day about the lessons I learned on A Year of Productivity.

Over the last 12 months I have conducted countless productivity experiments on myself, interviewed some of the most productive people in the world, and read a ton of books and academic literature on productivity, all to explore how I could become as productive as possible, and then write about the lessons I learned.

Read all top 10 lessons here http://ayearofproductivity.com/top-lessons-learned-a-year-of-productivity/

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    50+ productivity blogs (Updated October 2013) Over 50  great productivity blogs: Dumb Little Man (http://www.dumblittleman.com/) Zen Habits (http://zenhabits.net/) Life Hack (http://lifehack.org) Lifehacker (http://lifehacker.com) Penelope Trunk (http://www.penelopetrunk.com) Extremely well written blog. Something I can only dream about. Not only about productivity, but all things in life. 99u (http://99u.com/) How to make ideas happen. Time management ninja (http://www.timemanagementninja.com/) Nerd…
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The Government Debt Ponzi

Dysfunctional Bond Markets – A Comparison of Yields

Below we show the 10 year government bond yields of three countries: Spain, Japan and the United States. Also shown are budget deficits and total public debt as a percentage of GDP. It would actually make more sense to look at deficits as a percentage of tax revenues. The comparison of debt to GDP seems not to make a lot of sense intuitively, as governments cannot pay their debts out of ‘GDP’, but only out of tax revenues (note also that there are slight differences in the GDP calculations).

Anyway, the point is mainly to compare the three countries, as both Spain’s and Japan’s bond yields essentially reflect zero risk at this point. In fact, investors seem to assume that the combination of inflation risk and default risk in Spain and Japan is lower than in the US, which strikes us as slightly absurd, if only for “technical” reasons. An overview of annual CPI rates of change is shown as well.  Also included above the bond yield charts are the credit ratings assigned by the three big credit rating agencies (in this order: S&P, Moody’s, Fitch).

http://www.acting-man.com/?p=31039

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    The quick move higher in the yields of Europe's weakest sovereigns from historic lows may be just the beginning and on the edges it could start to affect other low-rated credits where investors have hunted for yield—such as U.S. junk bonds. Driven by speculation about the European Central Bank and…
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    I will let you guess where we are in this "cycle". Within a fractional reserve banking system, if the Federal Reserve decreases the discount rate and the rate is lower than the long bond rate by enough of a spread, the banks get motivated to borrow at or close to the  discount rate and loan…
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How Much Longer Will the Dollar Remain the Reserve Currency of the World?

The US Dollar’s status as a reserve currency seems to be a perennial concern for many people these days.  I think this concern is often dramatically overstated.  I was reminded of this point as I was reviewing the slides from Jeff Gundlach’s presentation yesterday which showed the following chart:

Source : http://pragcap.com/how-much-longer-will-the-dollar-remain-the-reserve-currency-of-the-world

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    This is a story about ARM Holdings (ARMH), the mobile technology company. But before it gets going, here are a few things you need to know: 1. ARM is a company made up mostly of chip engineers. They design parts of chips—such as graphics and communication bits—and they design entire…
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Cohen’s Point72 Bans Instant Messaging for Some Managers

Point72 Asset Management LP, Steven A. Cohen’s family office and successor to his hedge-fund firm SAC Capital Advisors LP, is banning some of its employees from using instant messaging for external communication after last year agreeing to settle insider trading allegations.

“This prohibition of IMs will reduce the highly informal communications inherent with instant messaging that can lead to confusion and inaccuracy, reflecting our continuing commitment to pursue all reasonable steps to prevent inappropriate information from entering the firm,” Chief Surveillance Officer Vincent Tortorella wrote in a memo sent today to the firm’s employees.

http://www.bloomberg.com/

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The battle against the high frequency traders

A ‘flash crash’ can knock a trillion dollars off the stock market in minutes as elite traders fleece the little guys. So why aren’t the regulators stepping in? We talk to the legendary lawyer preparing for an epic showdown

Back in the 1990s, when doctors had all but given up on holding the American tobacco industry to account, the lawyer Michael Lewis found an ingenious way through their defences. If juries couldn’t see past individuals’ responsibility for their habit, he reasoned, why not sue on behalf of individual states and their smoke-burdened Medicaid systems? Lewis gathered a team and tested the approach. In 1994, on behalf of the state of Mississippi, he sued 13 tobacco companies for the cost of treating cigarette-related illness; they were joined by another 38 US states and, under intense pressure, Big Tobacco agreed to pay $368.5bn. The industry’s nemesis became legal legend.

A proud Mississippian, Lewis wears his intellect with quiet southern grace; he listens before speaking and never interrupts. In almost half a century of legal practice, he thought he’d seen everything, but over 14 years of retirement he watched the world lurch towards a new technology-driven feudalism, defined by disparities in wealth that were more keenly felt in his own state than most. He was feeling ready for another dragon to slay.

http://www.theguardian.com

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Another European Country Joins the Race To Attract Hedge Funds

Czech Republic wants a piece of the rising hedge fund industry, after a new EU regulation named AIFMD (Alternative Investment Fund Manager Directive)  takes effect in July. Previously the highest number of hedge funds, after the U.S., are domiciled in Luxembourg, a tiny EU state. But the new EU rules, which are meant to enforce greater regulation and control in the money-managing industry, will require outside hedge funds to be domiciled in any one of the European Union members.

Read more here : http://www.valuewalk.com/

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BIG MARKET NEWS WEEK 8-14 JUNE 2014

 Japan Sunday, June 8, 2014 23:50  
 

 JPY Gross Domestic Product (QoQ) (Q1)
 Japan

 

Sunday, June 8, 2014 23:50  
JPY Gross Domestic Product Annualized (Q1)
  China

 

 Tuesday, June 10, 2014 01:30

 

 
 
CNY Consumer Price Index (YoY) (May)
United Kingdom

 

Tuesday, June 10, 2014

 

08:30

 

 
GBP Industrial Production (MoM) (Apr)
 

United Kingdom

 

 

Tuesday, June 10, 2014

 

08:30

 

 
 
GBP NIESR GDP Estimate (3M) (May)

 

 

 United Kingdom

 

Wednesday, June 11, 2014  

08:30

 

 
GBP ILO Unemployment Rate (3M) (Apr)
 

United Kingdom

 

Wednesday, June 11, 2014 08:30

 

 
GBP Claimant Count Change (Apr)
 New Zealand Wednesday, June 11, 2014 21:00

 

 
NZD RBNZ Interest Rate Decision
 New Zealand Wednesday, June 11, 2014

 

21:00

 

 
NZD Monetary Policy Statement
Australia Thursday, June 12, 2014 01:30  
AUD Employment Change s.a. (May)
Australia Thursday, June 12,

2014

01:30    

AUD Unemployment Rate s.a. (May)
United States Thursday, June 12, 2014

 

12:30    

USD Retail Sales (MoM) (May)
United States Thursday, June 12, 2014

 

12:30  
USD Initial Jobless Claims (Jun 6)
New Zealand Thursday, June 12, 2014 22:30  
NZD Business NZ PMI (May)
 Japan Friday, June 13, 2014

 

03:00  
JPY BoJ Interest Rate Decision
 Japan Friday, June 13, 2014

 

03:00    

JPY BoJ Monetary Policy Statement
 China Friday, June 13, 2014

 

05:30    

CNY Industrial Production (YoY) (May)
Canada Friday, June 13, 2014

 

12:30  
CAD Manufacturing Shipments (MoM) (Apr)
 United States Friday, June 13, 2014

 

13:55  
USD Reuters/Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index (Jun)Preliminar

 

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Regulating high frequency trading

Thank you for that kind introduction. And my sincere thanks to everyone here for joining this lunchtime session. It’s a great pleasure and privilege to return to New York.

I want to offer a few reflections this afternoon on market innovation and, in particular, the on-going debate around high frequency trading (HFT), which has dominated global media over the last few months.

For regulators of course, the interest here is not simply around the novelty of 21st century technology (as important as this is) it’s also in the link between speed, market fairness, efficiency and safety – which is clearly a much longer-running saga in financial services.

And I feel able to speak with at least a little authority on this, having spent much of my career at the London Stock Exchange. And the London Stock Exchange was, of course, the venue for the first high frequency trade.

Now, I sense a little scepticism here – I am sure you are asking how anybody could be so definitive on such a fast-moving topic. Even the experts can’t quite agree a firm definition of what a high frequency trade is, so let me explain.

http://www.fca.org.uk/

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Confused about high-frequency trading? Here’s a guide

A new book by author Michael Lewis describes how trading algorithms that detect and exploit tiny, fleeting profit opportunities, called high-frequency traders, have transformed the stock market. And not by ripping off middle class investors. But that doesn’t mean there are no problems. Read on to understand what high-frequency trading is, and what the real issues with it are.

What is high-frequency trading?

If you’re an average human being, your eyes take around 400 milliseconds to blink once. High-frequency trading is a kind of market activity that moves in less than one millisecond to spot and take advantage of an opportunity to buy or sell. It happens through trading algorithms, programs that determine how to trade based on fast-moving market data.

The kind of profit opportunities that high-frequency trading looks for aren’t the things most investors ever think about. They’re not betting that technology companies will see their profits grow more quickly than expected, for example, or that a recession is coming.

Instead, they’re looking for tiny opportunities for arbitrage. Imagine that, at precisely 10:30:01.01 AM, a share of Bank of America’s stock was trading at $16.02 on the New York Stock Exchange – but it was $16.04 on a smaller exchange called BATS. A high-frequency trading computer might spring into action by buying up shares of stock on the New York Stock Exchange and selling them on BATS. To make money this way you need to move super-fast, because the opportunity could vanish at any moment.

http://www.vox.com/

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