Category Archives: Economy

German bond yields on course for biggest weekly rise in a decade

 

German government bond yields jumped on Thursday as a rout in euro zone markets worsened, putting them on course for their biggest weekly rise in over a decade.

Yields on 10-year German bonds — the bloc’s benchmark — rose as much as 20 basis points to hit 0.799 percent, their biggest daily rise since the middle of 2012.

As of 0930 GMT, yields were up some 38 basis points on the week, set for their biggest rise seen since at least 2004, according to Tradeweb data.

Other euro zone government bond yields rose 4-15 bps.

Strategists said the market capitulation which started last week was sparked by easing deflation fears and investor weariness with ultra-low yields.

“It’s a historical move that we’re experiencing – a continuation of the move we’ve seen in the past few days,” said Jean Francois Robin, head of strategy at Natixis. “The macro picture is getting better in Europe.”

 

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    Tags: percent, markets, zone, euro, bond, europe
  • 63
    'It sounds far-fetched, I know,” I wrote in this column in December 2007. “But the ultimate victim of this subprime crisis could be nothing less than the single currency’s existence”. Reading it today, the above statement seems pretty reasonable. Many mainstream analysts now recognise the huge stresses imposed by the…
    Tags: german, bond, europe
  • 55
    Source : http://www.project-syndicate.org/commentary/ecb-eurozone-economic-union-by-mario-draghi-2015-1 There is a common misconception that the euro area is a monetary union without a political union. But this reflects a deep misunderstanding of what monetary union means. Monetary union is possible only because of the substantial integration already achieved among European Union countries – and sharing a…
    Tags: euro, europe
  • 49
    The past week saw a dynamic in financial markets that, not long ago, would have been deemed quite unusual: Prices of all kinds of assets, from safe government bonds to risky stocks, rose together. German bunds and U.S. Treasuries gained, pushing yields lower, as the Standard & Poor's 500 Index…
    Tags: market, bonds, bond, markets, historical, picture, rise, week, yields, government
  • 48
    Can you guess where most Chinese nationals are in Europe ? The answer is Italy. Who lives where in Europe? Nationalities across the continent mapped People of many different countries are now living in Europe, with the continent's residents coming everywhere from Jamaica to Tuvalu. Using data from 2011 censuses we have mapped…
    Tags: europe, data

CRASH IS COMING ? :: The price of iron ore has been crashing as well.

The price of iron ore has been crashing as well.

It is down 35 percent in the last nine months, and David Stockman believes that this is because of a major deflationary crisis that is brewing in China…

There is no better measure of the true contraction underway in China than the price of iron ore. The Wall Street stock peddlers will tell you not to be troubled by the 70% plunge from the 2012 highs and the 35% drop just in the last nine months. According to them, its all the fault of the big global miners who went overboard opening up massive new iron ore pits and mining infrastructure.

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  • 86
    Coal accounts for approximately 40 percent of all electrical generation on the entire planet.  When the price of coal starts to drop, that is a sign that economic activity is slowing down. Just prior to the last financial crisis in 2008, the price of coal shot up dramatically and then…
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  • 86
    We get some strong deflation signs in USA last 3 months, economic numbers not too good only thing rising is debt and consumer confidence.  
    Tags: months, economy, crash
  • 75
    The fast food chain is targeting 700 poor performing restaurants for closing this year, according to a McDonald's news release in which it reported losses not only in the United States, but in Europe and Asian as well. First quarter comparable sales in the United States decreased 2.6 percent and…
    Tags: percent, china, economy, crash
  • 75
    Half of the 41 fracking companies drilling for shale oil and gas in the US will be dead or sold by year-end amid steep crude price declines, Bloomberg reports.  An executive with Weatherford International Plc said slashed spending by oil companies has put much of the US fracking industry at risk.…
    Tags: price, coming, will, crash, economy
  • 74
      Source : http://www.alhambrapartners.com/2015/08/14/the-dollar-run-hits-the-corporate-bubble/ The ‘Dollar’ Run Hits The Corporate Bubble by Jeffrey P. Snider in Bonds, Currencies, Economy, Federal Reserve/Monetary Policy, Markets Tags:asian flu, asset bubbles, china, convertibility, corporate bond bubble, dollar run, eurodollar standard,global recession, high yield, interbank, junk, leveraged loans, Repo, wholesale funding, yuan By the behavior of…
    Tags: will, economy, crash

CRASH IS COMING ? :: The price of coal has been crashing again

Coal accounts for approximately 40 percent of all electrical generation on the entire planet.  When the price of coal starts to drop, that is a sign that economic activity is slowing down.

Just prior to the last financial crisis in 2008, the price of coal shot up dramatically and then crashed really hard.  Well, guess what?  The price of coal has been crashing again, and it is already lower than it was at any point during the last recession.

Watch the price here : http://www.infomine.com/investment/coal/

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  • 88
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  • 86
    The price of iron ore has been crashing as well. It is down 35 percent in the last nine months, and David Stockman believes that this is because of a major deflationary crisis that is brewing in China… There is no better measure of the true contraction underway in China…
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  • 77
    Half of the 41 fracking companies drilling for shale oil and gas in the US will be dead or sold by year-end amid steep crude price declines, Bloomberg reports.  An executive with Weatherford International Plc said slashed spending by oil companies has put much of the US fracking industry at risk.…
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  • 76
      Source : http://www.alhambrapartners.com/2015/08/14/the-dollar-run-hits-the-corporate-bubble/ The ‘Dollar’ Run Hits The Corporate Bubble by Jeffrey P. Snider in Bonds, Currencies, Economy, Federal Reserve/Monetary Policy, Markets Tags:asian flu, asset bubbles, china, convertibility, corporate bond bubble, dollar run, eurodollar standard,global recession, high yield, interbank, junk, leveraged loans, Repo, wholesale funding, yuan By the behavior of…
    Tags: financial, economy, crash
  • 76
    The fast food chain is targeting 700 poor performing restaurants for closing this year, according to a McDonald's news release in which it reported losses not only in the United States, but in Europe and Asian as well. First quarter comparable sales in the United States decreased 2.6 percent and…
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Crash is coming ? :: McDonald’s Closing Hundreds of Stores in US, Asia After Losses

The fast food chain is targeting 700 poor performing restaurants for closing this year, according to a McDonald’s news release in which it reported losses not only in the United States, but in Europe and Asian as well.

First quarter comparable sales in the United States decreased 2.6 percent and operating income for the quarter fell by 11 percent, according to the company. First quarter comparable sales in Europe declined 0.6 percent while operating income tumbled 20 percent.

“APMEA’s first quarter comparable sales decreased 8.3 percent primarily due to the impact of prolonged, broad-based consumer perception issues in Japan, along with negative but improving performance in China,” said McDonald’s about its Asia market. “For the quarter, APMEA’s operating income declined 80 percent … due to strategic restaurant closings and other charges and negative operating performance in Japan and China.”

Bloomberg Business reported that McDonald’s Holding Co. in Japan would likely lose $318 million this year and sales were expected to drop 10 percent. Along with the store closing in Japan, the company had hoped to revamp 2,000 others over the next several years.

McDonald’s Holding president Sarah Casanova said she would take a 20 percent pay cut over the next six months and other directors would take 15 percent salary cuts in the transition as 100 jobs would be lost in Japan.

Time magazine reported that while the 700 store closings is a small percentage of the roughly 32,500 restaurants McDonalds operates globally, it shows that the fast food king is serious about aggressively taking steps about turning around its fortunes and staying No. 1.

“As the world’s leading restaurant company, we are evolving to be more responsive to today’s customer,” said Steve Easterbrook, McDonald’s president, adding that more information will be shared about the restaurants turnaround plans on May 4.

“McDonald’s management team is keenly focused on acting more quickly to better address today’s consumer needs, expectations and the competitive marketplace. We are developing a turnaround plan to improve our performance and deliver enduring profitable growth,” said Easterbrook

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  • 75
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  • 69
    Half of the 41 fracking companies drilling for shale oil and gas in the US will be dead or sold by year-end amid steep crude price declines, Bloomberg reports.  An executive with Weatherford International Plc said slashed spending by oil companies has put much of the US fracking industry at risk.…
    Tags: year, company, crash, economy
  • 67
    (Source : http://qz.com/486476/everything-youve-heard-about-chinas-stock-market-crash-is-wrong/ ) This week’s Chinese stock market implosion has been widely viewed as a reaction to the Chinese government’s devaluing the yuan on Aug. 11—a move many presume was a frenzied bid to lower export prices and strengthen the economy. This interpretation doesn’t stand up to scrutiny. First, Chinese…
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Crash is coming ? :: Half of US fracking firms to die this year

Half of the 41 fracking companies drilling for shale oil and gas in the US will be dead or sold by year-end amid steep crude price declines, Bloomberg reports. 

An executive with Weatherford International Plc said slashed spending by oil companies has put much of the US fracking industry at risk.

There were 61 fracking service providers in the US at the start of last year but customers leave wells uncompleted because of low prices, according to Bloomberg.

Weatherford operates the fifth-largest fracking operation in the US. Its pressure pumping marketing director Rob Fulks says the service company has been forced to cut costs “dramatically” in order to persuade producers not to abandon work.

In February, Weatherford announced plans to cut about 8,000 jobs, or 14% of its workforce, this year in response to the decline in oil prices.

Bigger players such as Halliburton and Baker Hughes are entering into mergers. Others are selling chunks of their assets.

The US “rig count” has fallen from 1,608 in October to 747.

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  • 75
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  • 69
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    Tags: will, economy, crash
  • 69
    The fast food chain is targeting 700 poor performing restaurants for closing this year, according to a McDonald's news release in which it reported losses not only in the United States, but in Europe and Asian as well. First quarter comparable sales in the United States decreased 2.6 percent and…
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Keynesian central bankers will do almost anything to fight deflation and that ultimately this will lead to a global currency crisis in the near future.

 

During this 40+ minute interview, Jason asks Mish about interest rates and financial repression and if he thinks the Federal Reserve is trapped and can they meaningfully raise interest rates?

Mish says the Fed would probably never admit they are trapped and is probably too stupid to know they are basically trapped.

Jason and Mish discuss financial repression in the US, Japan, etc.

Next, Jason asks Mish about his recent article about the pension plan crisis developing in the US.

Mish and Jason discuss if asset price inflation is intentionally being done to help generate higher returns for pension funds?

After this, Jason asks Mish about asset price inflation, bubbles and where Mish still sees value in markets. Mish likes gold, gold miners, Japanese stocks most.

Jason asks Mish about the oil market and they discuss job losses because of the US shale oil bust is happening now even though oil may have bottomed.

Jason and Mish then talk about inflation, currency wars, deflation and currency pegs.

Mish says Keynesian central bankers will do almost anything to fight deflation and that ultimately this will lead to a global currency crisis in the near future.

To end the interview, Jason asks Mish about the SDR and if CHina wants the World Reserve Currency?

Mish says China doesn’t want the burden of the world reserve currency, at least not anytime soon.

 

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  • 76
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  • 76
    The plunge of the lira has already exposed the Turkish economy’s dependence on short-term foreign investment. Most foreign capital is invested in Turkish stocks and bonds rather than longer-term projects. All it takes is a phone call or a few clicks of a mouse for short-term investors to move their…
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  • 76
    The US Dollar’s status as a reserve currency seems to be a perennial concern for many people these days.  I think this concern is often dramatically overstated.  I was reminded of this point as I was reviewing the slides from Jeff Gundlach’s presentation yesterday which showed the following chart: Source…
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  • 75
    Follow up of my post on BIG COMPANIES NOW HAVE A HAND IN THE COLLABORATIVE ECONOMY Here is one picture.
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“Economic therapy” called devaluation.

 

Low euro is like a “deflation” of the Euro. Is this good or bad ?

Lets talk about devaluation.

The idea being that the goods the nation has to offer will cost less with devaluation.

Good idea, right? Many countries have resorted to this economic maneuver in order to increase exports.

The question always is: are the benefits of the drug greater than the cost of theside effects?

The same concept needs to be applied to theEconomic therapycalleddevaluation.

Importing essential goods, like food, which must be imported because much of it is not available locally, suddenly costs more.

The increases in the cost of food adversely impacts morale.

I suggest to you that devaluation, like inflation, causes people to lose trust in the currency of the country.

The public feels ambushed by the government it has elected.

Everyone-from all socioeconomic groups-feel undermined by those they have chosen to lead their government.

Devaluation has short term benefits, but long term costs.

The benefits are easy to see: an increase in exports.

The costs are more difficult to assess or even notice.

People cut their saving, which impacts capital formation.

Consumption begins to increase as people start ridding themselves of money because it has an unstable value.

Most important of all, the lack of trust in government has its own repercussions,which are also hard to quantify, but they are there.

Devaluation is a mechanistic solution: cut prices, increase volume.

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  • 70
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  • 67
    "There are no facts, only interpretations”, Friedrich Nietzsche once said. One needn’t be a nihilist or a relativist to be bemused at the latest radical rewriting of history from our official number-crunchers. Everything we thought we knew about the British economy’s performance over the past 15 years or so now…
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  • 64
      Feb 8 (Reuters) - If Greece is forced out of the euro zone, other countries will inevitably follow and the currency bloc will collapse, Greek Finance Minister Yanis Varoufakis said on Sunday. Greece's new leftist government is trying to re-negotiate its debt repayments and has begun to roll back…
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This could end ‘very badly’

Why do we say so ?

  1. Easy money policies of recent years could lead to big problems.
  2. Warning indicators like the significant number of original general public offerings of organizations that are unprofitable, and substantial degrees of financial debt issued to firms, often with weak credit score.

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  • 83
    Greek debt tracker   As the government in Athens haggles with its lenders over economic reforms,Greece is running out of money. Here is what it owes in the upcoming months. http://www.ft.com/ig/sites/2015/greek-debt-monitor/
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  • 81
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  • 80
    Publicis CEO Maurice Levy's last-ditch offer to let Omnicom chief John Wren be CEO couldn't save the $35 billion deal to create the world's largest advertising company.   http://postcards.blogs.fortune.cnn.com/
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Greek Debt for Dummies

Here is some facts about the Greek Debt

 

  1. The uncertainty over this week’s payment to the IMF is just the latest episode of a multiyear tragedy for Greece and its creditors as they try to navigate a situation that has been managed too timidly for too long.
  2. The biggest lenders to Greece are: the euro zone – 60%, the International Monetary Fund (IMF) – 10%, the European Central Bank (ECB) – 6%, Greek banks – 3%,Bank of Greece, 1% – foreign banks, 15% – other bondholders, 3% – other loans.
  3. Having struggled to restore economic growth, and with an unemployment rate of 26 percent, Greece isn’t generating enough revenue to meet all of its obligations.
  4. Greece now has its hopes set on another meeting of euro zone deputy finance ministers on April 8-9, although it is unlikely that a deal could be reached by then.
  5. Negotiations between Greece and its creditors over the next tranche of the country’s bailout – worth more than €7bn – have stalled over disagreement about Syriza’s economic reform plans.
  6. Default or no default, Greece will be scrambling for cash unless it is revived by a fresh injection of bail-out cash soon.
  7. After days of talks between officials representing Greece and its creditors about a list of economic reforms and proposals, euro zone finance ministry officials will discuss progress and the prospects for an agreement during a teleconference session on Wednesday afternoon.
  8. Perhaps something good can come from Greece’s debt disaster as it is clear evidence that changes are needed to ensure a healthy economy in the euro zone and for the euro to thrive.
  9. Greece especially its successive governments and irresponsible politicians have been behind the feckless borrowing and now the Greek people have to bear the burden of irresponsibility, perhaps even criminal behavior, of their leaders.
  10.  The new loans represented not a bailout for Greece but a cynical transfer of losses from the books of the private banks to the weak shoulders of the weakest of Greek citizens.
  11. The repayment schedule on the country’s €240 billion rescue package extends to 2054 and, of course, Greece has to also repay its other debt obligations.
  12. Greek debt has been steadily growing as the nation has been subjected to harsh austerity, with the nation seeing an unprecedented contraction in its economic output with all the consequences of such a downturn.
  13. The Greek government faces another crucial deadline in its interminable bail-out drama this week, as fears mount that the country could become the first developed nation to ever default on its international obligations.
  14. The terms of Greece’s existing bail-out programme stipulate that a default to the IMF would automatically constitute a default on the country’s European rescue loans.
  15. The worsening Greek debt crisis has reanimated talk within the ruling Syriza party of a snap general election if discussions with creditors fail, as the country faces a Thursday deadline to repay a €450m loan to the International Monetary Fund.
  16. The Greek finance minister, Yanis Varoufakis, was scheduled to hold informal talks with the IMF’s managing director, Christine Lagarde, in Washington DC on Sunday – 5 Apr 2015 – , while warnings of early elections underscored the political unrest in Athens. IMF Managing Director Christine Lagarde said in a statement after meeting with Varoufakis that she welcomed his confirmation that the loan payment due would be made on schedule.
  17. Beyond this week’s bill auction and the IMF repayment, Greece sees €1.4 billion of short-term Treasury bills mature on April 13, requiring the country to sell more debt to fund that, Rodriguez notes, while another €1 billion in notes matures on April 16.
  18. Meanwhile, Greece’s domestic socio-political context makes it difficult for the government to make payments to the IMF, especially as it struggles to pay salaries and finance basic social services.
  19. Greece has not received any bailout funds since August last year, and the Syriza-led government has so far failed to convince its eurozone partners to dole out remaining funds in the bailout pot.
  20. Although the exact process is uncertain, falling into a protracted arrears procedure could have major consequences for continued financial assistance from Greece’s other creditors – the European Central Bank and European Commission.
  21. “If Greece defaults to the IMF, then they are considered to be in default to the rest of the eurozone,” says Raoul Ruparel, head of economic research at Open Europe.
  22. Prime Minister Alexis Tsipras will visit Moscow next week, with Russia ready to discuss easing restrictions on Greek food products, according to Russian government officials.
  23. Greece won’t default on payments to the International Monetary Fund next week even as a lack of bailout disbursements has left government coffers nearly empty, according to the minister responsible for meeting the obligations.
  24. “It is necessary to restore the Greek economy’s funding flow,” Labor Minister Panos Skourletis told the Greek Ependysi newspaper on Saturday, accusing the country’s lenders of taking advantage of Greece’s funding limits to add pressure on Athens.
  25. The interior minister suggested last week the government would prioritize wages and pensions over the IMF payment, although the government later denied that was its stance.
  26. The government is hoping approval of its reform proposals will free up the remaining aid of 7.2 billion euros (5.30 billion pounds) under its bailout and lead to the return of about 1.9 billion euros in profits made by the European Central Bank on Greek bonds.
  27. The payment to the IMF wouldn’t necessarily make it easier for Greece and its creditors to better work collaboratively to restore the country’s growth and financial viability with the euro zone.
  28. Since Tsipras took office, the chairmen of two of the largest banks, National Bank of Greece and Eurobank, have both been replaced with people who are close to the new government.
  29. Russia’s foreign minister Sergey Lavrov told his Greek counterpart in February that Moscow would consider a loan to Greece if the country asked for one – an offer repeated by the Russian ambassador to Greece last week in an interview with Greek newspaper Kathimerini.
  30. The Prmie Minister of Greece will fly into Moscow today for talks with Russian President Vladimir Putin amid ongoing concern that the Mediterranean country will run out of money this month.
  31. Alexis Tsipras’ meeting had originally been scheduled for May, but has been brought forward, raising suspicions that Greece plans to gain funding from Russia or to use relations with the country as a bargaining chip with its Eurozone partners during bailout negotiations.
  32. “While no member of the government admits to it publicly, the fostering of better relations with Russia is seen as a potential negotiating tool in relations between Greece and its lenders,” said an analyst from Greek think tank Macropolis.
  1. Greece is currently negotiating a short-term bailout extension that it doesn’t really want, offered by European institutions which don’t trust the Greek government and approved by other governments that are running out of patience.
  2. Back in the worst days of the euro crisis, it was feared that banking and sovereign default in Greece would spread to other southern European countries, causing a domino effect.
  3. But even if Greece gets the bailout deal when European finance ministers meet on April 24 (which isn’t assured), we’ll be back in the same place in about two months.

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  • 78
    Here is what you need to know now as Greece enters a pivotal week in its testy relationship with the Eurozone: 1.       Greece’s most immediate – as in first thing Monday morning – source of danger is its banking system. To compensate for accelerated deposit flight, the European Central Bank…
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  • 78
    Greece is reeling from the effects of the biggest economic crisis in its recent history. Here are some statistics underscoring the severity of the crisis now reaching into all aspects of Greek life. 25% The Greek economy has shrunk since its peak in mid-2008. 25.8% Percentage of Greeks who remain out of…
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  • 75
      Greek banks are running short on the collateral they need to stay alive, a crisis that could help force Prime Minister Alexis Tsipras’s hand after weeks of brinkmanship with creditors. As deposits flee the financial system, lenders use collateral parked at the Greek central bank to tap more and…
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  • 71
    Greece probably has until late July to come to an agreement with its creditors before potentially being forced out of the monetary union. Possible delays in payments to the International Monetary Fund in June shouldn’t prompt the European Central Bank to shut off vital liquidity to Greek banks. By contrast,…
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Quantitative easing is, by some accounts, an unorthodox monetary tool.

 

(Source : http://in-cyprus.com/quantitative-easing-redux/ )

On March 5 in Nicosia Cyprus the European Central Bank (ECB) announced the technical aspects of its much-anticipated Quantitative Easing programme, or QE.

Quantitative easing is, by some accounts, an unorthodox monetary tool. A central bank expands its balance sheet (roughly speaking, creates more money electronically), with the sole intent of buying eligible securities (i.e. high-rated debt instruments such as bonds) from selected issuers such as national governments and or intergovernmental agencies that are held by investors such as banks and pension funds.

QE: the Japanese experience

This particular monetary tool was first applied by Japan in 2001, in an effort to combat deflationary pressures in the country. In the early 2000s Japan was still reeling from the Asian Tigers crash of 1997, caused by an overexpansion of the banking sector that created asset bubbles, such as in real estate.

As these countries’ currencies collapsed in value vis-à-vis the Japanese yen, this pushed prices down and created deflationary pressures in the country.

The initial response by the Bank of Japan (BoJ) was to cut lending rates close to zero, but that proved ineffective. Timidly in 2001 the BoJ began the first modern QE programme. The rationale was that, if a central bank buys government debt from private banks and pension funds in ample amounts, these organisations flush with money will proceed to invest that in the economy, thus countering the effects of deflation and economic stagnation.

Initially, as the BoJ bought only small amounts of debt, QE proved to be ineffective, forcing the bank to stop applying the measure altogether.

With the election of Prime Minister Shinzo Abe in 2012, the country revisited QE – only this time the programme was far more substantive in scope. Benefiting from the reduced interest burden to its debt, the government embarked on a massive public spending spree in productive ventures, coupled with market-oriented reforms.

Abe’s brand of economic governance (dubbed Abenomics) was welcomed by market participants and is credited with turning the tide of the ailing Japanese economy that was stagnant for almost a decade.

The same measure was applied by the US and the UK at the onset of the 2008 financial crisis. QE’s effects are debatable. Critics say it is a policy of “let’s just do it because we can’t come up with a better idea”. This is a preconception that applies almost 100% to the eurozone.

Will the eurozone’s QE work?

The ECB announced its own brand of QE called the Public Sector Purchase Programme (PSPP) in early 2015, announcing details in Nicosia on March 5. The intention is to purchase close to €60 billion in securities per month till at least September 2015.

As with Japan, the eurozone is faced with deflation and anaemic growth (colloquially known as stagflation). The measures applied so far by the ECB – namely the Asset Backed Securities purchase programme, the (still to be launched) outright monetary transactions (OMT) programme, the long-term and targeted refinancing programmes known as LTRO-TLTRO and the securities market programme (SMP) – did little to avert stagflation.

Therefore, in the absence of better ideas, the ECB embarked on its own QE.

However, the devil is in the details. Quite unlike Japan, where the government was free to spend at will, eurozone countries are bound by the restrictive treaty-based Stability and Growth Pact criteria limiting their public deficit to 3% of GDP (for reference the Japanese deficit in 2014 was estimated at 7.6%). Therefore a public-sector spending spree is effectively out of the question.

Then there is the question of whether banks which sell their bond holdings to central banks will use that money to make credit affordable to the private sector, and in particular to non-financial, non-real estate corporations.

The UK and the US experience with QE shows that such a thing did not happen and sadly this is where increased government spending (either direct or in the form of guarantees) is needed to fill in the gap.

To date the only thing that seems to have been achieved by ECB’s QE is to drive down the price of the euro vis-à-vis other currencies. The euro dropped from 1.3945 per dollar a year ago to 1.0557 by mid-March, or by 24% year on year. This will undoubtedly make European products more attractive abroad. However, countries in recession are unlikely to benefit as they do not export much in any case.

It is still too early to judge the ECB’s QE, as the programme is just a few weeks old. The ECB launched the PSPP programme on March 9. The ECB’s weekly aggregate balance sheet (the sum of the balance sheets of all central banks participating in the euro) reveals that securities purchases increased by €31 billion in the two weeks from March 9 to March 20. In this respect, the ECB seems close to capturing its intended target of €60 billion in asset purchases per month.

Cyprus shut out of the QE programme

As noted by the Central Bank of Cyprus Governor Chrystalla Georghadji, QE programme requirements mean that a country whose credit-worthiness is rated below investment grade by all credit agencies and which is under an adjustment programme can benefit from the PSPP programme only if the Troika positively concludes its review.

In this respect Cyprus is effectively shut out of the PSPP programme as, at the time of writing, the MPs had ignobly resisted voting in the new foreclosures framework which has been a requirement of the bailout programme’s Memorandum of Understanding since its first draft in late 2012.

According to the Central Bank governor, the Cyprus banks could potentially benefit by as much as €500 million from the programme.

 

 

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